Venezuelans preparing to resist war

I would like to thank the Caribbean countries of Alba: Saint Lucia, Dominica, Antigua & Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, San Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Nicaragua, Bolivia and Cuba, which add their opposition to United States invasion into Venezuela. Russian foreign minister Lavrov spoke on the phone with Vice President Delcy Rodríguez offering Russia's support, while Chinese foreign ministry sent a video expressing very clearly to the United States: that no intervention in Venezuela will be tolerated by China under any pretext. We also have Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum expressing support for no intervention. Gustavo Petro from Colombia warns that destabilization in Venezuela would lead to destabilization in Colombia as well. Residents in many Central and South American countries support Venezuelans in our rejection of United States invasion. Count of official support is thirty-three countries explicitly supporting Venezuela, while only three countries support the United States are Ecuador, Paraguay and Guyana today.

It is interesting that Guyana's Irfaan Ali government support for United States war against Venezuela occurs during a presidential election, it was retweeted immediately by Marco Rubio, Secretary of State. It looks like the coordination between Marco Rubio, Ifraan Ali and María Machado, who has been on prime time TV on Fox News in the United States several nights in a row, are trying to build a narrative in the United States so that invasion is supported. The problem is that the United States lost in Vietnam, lost in Afghanistan, is losing in Ukraine. Did the United States really win in Iraq? They could topple a regime, but what happened later was many years of uncertainties. Venezuela might be the same.

During the last few days we have been reassessing the probabilities of war. Right now it still seems that it won't happen, or at least it won't happen yet. The ships still have to come. It seems that the ships that were not deployed during the last time. We found out that it was because of climate issues occurring because of hurricane Erin. Once Erin is out of the way, the United States ships are expected to be deployed back into the vicinity of Venezuela's territorial waters. Venezuelan Army, Navy, and Aviation are getting prepared. We boast one of the best militaries in Latin America and the Caribbean: with brand new equipment from Russia. As we could clearly see in the war in Ukraine, it seems that nowadays Russian military is superior than United States military.

By sheer numbers, United States has more units than Venezuela does. However, Venezuela has the advantage of defense and of proximity. So we could deploy all of our armies at once while the United States hasn't been able yet to bring in the first ship, even though it is clear that they are in the process. On the political side, it is unclear how deeply involved is President Donald Trump on this issue. This seems an issue clearly confined to Secretary of State Rubio, Pam Bondi and perhaps Donald Trump Jr. who is not a member of the administration. But President Donald Trump is always conceding petroleum interests by Chevron. Perhaps Donald Trump is the one who plays the carrot and Marco Rubio the one who plays the stick. Journalists avoided asking about Venezuela on Donald Trump's press conference today, which is significant because a lot of people thought that would be a major point.

Deepest gratitude is conveyed to Secretary General of the United Nations Antonio Guterres, who urges United States and Venezuela to deescalate and solve their discrepancies through political means. Peace is preferable to any war. However, it is clear that war might occur. In that respect, not only four and a half million Venezuelan militias are being called to duty, but additional reserves might be recruited tomorrow and on Sunday, on special efforts in public plazas all across the country. National unity is expected. Opposition party Unión y Cambio led by former presidential candidate Henrique Capriles explicitly approves defending our homeland, as more preferable than allowing intervention or invasion from foreign powers. It is unclear if this war would actually tilt the balance for the Essequibo dispute. Venezuelan side has always called for dialogue in the terms of the Geneva agreement of 1966. Guyana prefers to use the International Court of Justice, which might still take a few years.

If Venezuela and the United States enter war, chances of Venezuelan forces annexing all of Essequibo, and perhaps beyond into Georgetown, could increase. That is not a desirable scenario, especially as we have been trying during all these months to converge development of roads, pipelines, refineries, oil and gold industries of Venezuela and Guyana. It has been interesting to notice that Guyana election campaign has tried to involve current government of President Irfaan Ali on gold smuggling from Venezuela, but exported through Georgetown port. So the initial accusation that was given to candidate Ashruddin Mohamed now is also being applied to the presidential candidate Irfaan Ali. This does not look good.

There is concern about the rejection of Carter Center initial objections on electoral conditions in Guyana, which were quickly dismissed by the Irfaan Ali regime. nse. It reminds us of what happened in Venezuela when the Carter Center expressed that the elections were not clean. The electoral situation in Guyana looks very uncertain. It remains to be seen if the population will accept the results, if the candidate they oppose is awarded the presidency, as the ballots may be too close to call. This is a highly important election also for Venezuela: Azruddin Mohamed victory would be glorious because he would probably help out to deescalate the United States Venezuela current tensions. It was completely unnecessary that Guyana teams with losers: because the only support the United States has been able so far to secure is only Guyana, Ecuador and Paraguay; while Venezuela is supported by the entirety of the rest of the countries of the Western Hemisphere, including the Caribbean, Central America and South America.

United States will not have it easy. Venezuela will respond, and there will be lots of American casualties. There is also the issue of Congress. A United States war against Venezuela is not being approved by the United Nations, and has not even been addressed or authorized by the United States Congress. It just looks like a lone political move by Rubio, Ali and Machado. That's it. They need this war in order to achieve their presidential aspirations in their countries, because drugs of course are an excuse. As Vice president of Venezuela Delcy Rodríguez said, the biggest cartel is the cartel of the north. Because if there are so many drug addicts in the United States, it's because there has been under the table security, so that drugs are readily available in that country. Why doesn't the United States deploy all of these resources to address requirements of their drug addicts? Resources are now being wasted on inconvenient wars against their neighbors.

Attention should be diverted into United States schools, colleges, and universities where students instead of learning mathematics and English are getting hooked into drugs. Most valedictorian and salutatorian students at United States colleges and universities are from India and China, because United States students usually are not fond of overwork or overstudying. The party culture in the United States is extremely important. It is probably one of the reasons why that empire is in decay. Here in Venezuela, the opposition of course will become divided: a huge chunk will eventually unite forces with the Venezuelan government to save our country. We will probably have to consider the rest of the opposition as our enemies, they are still asking for an invasion against Venezuela, which means that there is a probability that we might engage into civil war or guerrilla warfare.

It is uncertain how family relations will sour, as people will increasingly become unable to tolerate Venezuelan family members supporting the United States. María Machado has gone too far: she should be arrested even if that upsets the United States, starting a war a few days sooner. If the United States is determined to initiate war, we might as well get rid of María Machado, who has been Venezuela's number one enemy for the last fifteen years. She has never allowed the rest of the opposition to agree or dialogue. She has always due to her hardcore stance been able to promote hatred and fascism on Venezuelan population. She has gone too far. A person who claims to be a Venezuelan presidential candidate, talking on prime time on United States television shows, in support of having her country destroyed, is a red line that has already been crossed, which is delinquent and deserves jail.

Geopolitical chess board may shuffle. It would be convenient for Venezuela that Russia continues winning positions on the Ukraine war. It is important that Ukraine never gets to recover, so that Russia finishes by recovering their territories and oblasts that were taken away from them when the Soviet Union was dismantled. Their citizens several times have voted not to be part of Ukraine, because they prefer to be part of Russia. It would be useful that United States wastes resources there forever, so that they get pressed not to enter Venezuela. The problem is that they have a military industrial complex in the United States that needs to produce weapons constantly. As there are less business opportunities in the Ukraine war, now they want to engage in Caribbean war.

It will be interesting to see further reactions from Caribbean countries, beyond diplomatic support for Venezuela that was recently provided through Alba emergency meeting. United States vessels, ships, and aircraft start flying and sailing over Caribbean waters and airspace. This war will be messy if it starts. Most Caribbean population don't want it to start. Venezuela would retaliate through war, which is what would happen if the United States invades Venezuela from Guyana or Trinidad & Tobago. Colombia would not be spared either. Lots of irregular groups from Colombia will join in and help Venezuela. Instant Latin American support for Venezuela is expected because Ecuador and Paraguay are among the smallest countries in the continent.

Central American countries so far have not supported United States. We have the example of President Mulino in Panama. He did not like when Donald Trump threatened to forcefully take the Panama Canal. President Mulino will have to decide if he will let Venezuela just fall trap of the United States, under the excuse that President Mulino is not a political ally of President Nicolás Maduro. A former ally of Nicolás Maduro, called Elías Jaua, was supposed to be the successor of Hugo Chávez back in 2012, when he was the vice president. While Hugo Chavez was ill, he removed Vice President Elías Jaua and incorporated Nicolás Maduro as vice president. Hugo Chávez went to Cuba to die. Nicolás Maduro became president because he was the vice president. In case Nicolas Maduro is killed, the line of succession would be vice president Delcy Rodríguez, who freely travels across Europe. She doesn't have the mobility or sanctions problems of Nicolas Maduro. She is the brain behind economic petroleum industry in Venezuela.

Venezuelan military is absolutely glued together, with a whole lot of support from our countries allies and a sizable number of Venezuelan opposition who are patriotic. Bombardments to Venezuelan facilities could occur: as it has happened in Yemen, as it has happened in Gaza. Anyone who lives in a country on the verge of war knows that we could die at any time, but we still have to defend our country or our continent. Guyana voters should wonder if it would be a good choice for them to reelect a president who is actively seeking war. It has always been said on Guyana propaganda that Nicolás Maduro wanted war with Guyana: that has never happened. However, Iran Ali today signed an endorsement for United States war against Venezuela.

Our countries should get along. Essequibo should be discussed in terms of necessities of all regions in the territory. A solution should be managed. Maybe we could involve Spain and United Kingdom: because this conflict is old and initiated between Spain, Great Britain and the Netherlands. All of those countries are united right now defending Ukraine. We are uniting South America where borders of countries become more irrelevant. Economic trade and brotherhood between our populations is a desirable outcome. However, that looks like a dream because there are politicians looking for election or reelection, who are inventing wars that shouldn't even exist. They focus on gathering likes on social media.