Media is anxious for launching war
Caracas is enjoying a placid rainy Friday afternoon. Traffic jams on streets are normal. Shopping malls are full of customers. There is really no mention of war at all, until you arrive to social media where psychological war pushes to extremes. While Donald Trump has promised there will be no air strikes against Venezuela, everyone else is counting United States ships and locations. Yesterday United States Ship Gravely departed out of Port of Spain, Trinidad and Tobago, leaving Kamla without Dragon gas deal and without Caricom. President Nicolás Maduro however is cautious. He is requesting further military assistance from China, Iran and Russia. All Russian high level politicians are fully supporting Venezuelan defense, including Maria Zakharova, Sergey Lavrov, Pescov, Putin and Russian ambassador in Caracas. Economic summit concluded with probable deals for further arms sales.
Economic war continues devaluing Venezuelan currency, which is already at 223 bolivars per United States dollar, as economic war is perhaps more difficult to win than military war. Trinidad & Tobago United States air bases are ordering their personnel to report tonight, while airspace around Ponce Puerto Rico will remain closed during next following months. Donald Trump's meeting with President Xi of China does not seem to have gone well. Body language expressed disgust while minor concessions on tariffs and rare earth exports were agreed upon. Polymarket only provides a 24% chance that Nicolás Maduro will be ousted, although possibility of military strikes against Venezuela are significantly higher.
Venezuelan missiles are comfortably waiting for United States Ship Gerald Ford to arrive from Mediterranean or Atlantic Ocean, as its slow clumsy motion still needs a few extra days of voyage. Venezuelan asymmetric warfare strategies might target aircraft carrier USS Gerald Ford, if it approaches too much. Psychological warfare, highly entrenched in social media, tries to portray an inevitability of regime change: in hope that Venezuela will strike first. Venezuela has absolutely no need to strike first, as we believe in a peaceful Caribbean zone of peace that must be maintained. Caribbean community, once Trinidad & Tobago pulls out, will need inclusion of Venezuela and Colombia with rest of Caribbean islands. We should be able to design a new peace through strength strategy, with common defense against United States constant attempts for aggression, against our wonderland and wonder sea.
If USS Gerald Ford is attained by Venezuelan missiles, following a prior United States attack onto somewhere in Venezuela, that would entail a suicidal land operation of United States forces in Venezuela: which would be messy, long, and plentiful of American casualties, which would be unfortunate. Venezuela is enjoying this rainy afternoon. Placid, peaceful traffic jams always happen when it rains.
Prime Minister of Trinidad and Tobago Kamla Persad-Bissessar is in a terrible mood. She decided to turn off comments on her social media accounts. During last few weeks I used to comment on her posts, as I was hoping some Dragón gas deal would be made before I knew that she had already succumbed to forces of warfare and evil. Everybody else of course has been critical of her performance. Now she is complaining that she has no business, as a persona non grata, in traveling to Venezuela as we are supposed to endure a horrible dictatorship.
It is unclear why she was so desperate in getting Dragón gas deal signed by such horrible dictatorship, if she didn't like it. Why would she do business with people she doesn't like? Horror times are expected for Trinidad & Tobago citizens: as their government has become clown show of Caricom. No suitable trade partners arise. Considering that Kamla Persad-Bissessar recently avoided traveling to Africa, it is unclear how she would manage to export all production from Trinidad & Tobago to United States: as she would be dealing with a country that imposes tariffs on imports.
Yesterday I was interviewed by Afro Grenadian Ambassador on his YouTube channel. He was telling me that in Grenada they might have to look for alternative sources of industrial products, from suppliers different from Trinidad & Tobago. Caricom might soon be removed from obligation of taking care of Trinidad & Tobago, which tends to disagree with everything else proposed by Caricom. Perhaps this will be a good opportunity for Venezuela to provide Grenada and other Caribbean islands some of our industrial and agricultural production: which contrary to propaganda reports is improving. Venezuela a few years ago had shortages of every single product. Nowadays our shelves are full of everything: mostly domestic products which might soon be exported.
Russia, Iran and China will urgently arrive militarily in defense of Venezuela, as we expect Donald Trump to change his mind again and decide to strike. This urgent, renewed relationship with China, Iran and Russia will accelerate Venezuela's incursion into foreign markets: away from Americas, with terms of trade not necessarily tied to either OFAC or United States dollar. It is significant to be on notice that airspace near Ponce, Puerto Rico will be closed for civilian air traffic during the next 6 months. Venezuela can expect military tensions for a very long time, pending resolution of conflicts in other parts of this world like Ukraine. City of Pokrovsk in Donetsk is besieged by Russian forces, where ten thousand Ukrainian military personnel are hidden in civilian apartments. They do not wish to surrender. Their fate is uncertain as hours and days go by. Russian embassy in Caracas has advertised poseidon missiles. This state-of-the-art Russian military industry might be able to strike either USS Gerald Ford or objectives within continental United States: as they might have already been deployed in Cuba rather than Venezuela.
United States propaganda tends to overinform while Chinese, Russian, and Iranian sources tend to hide some information: which means that Venezuela is probably well equipped with a lot of weapons that have not even been disclosed yet. Unenviable position of United States shipbuilding industry represents only 0.1% of total warship production worldwide, in contrast to China which produces 50% of all ships worldwide in 2025. As time goes by, United States military predominance dwindles, while combined military predominance of Russia, Iran and China: allies of Venezuela increases. United States warmongering is unfortunate.
Venezuela wishes to show this planet that peace should be guideline for international relations, as approved by Human Rights Council of United Nations, whose main chief declared today that shooting down civilians on speedboats in Caribbean and Pacific is unacceptable. Most shootings are in Pacific Ocean, which makes us think that maybe some ships that were previously in Caribbean have actually moved to Pacific Ocean, while psychological warfare seems at an all-time high. There is a small window of a few days between now and arrival of USS Gerald Ford into Caribbean. It sounds like United States should already have struck Venezuela, but it hasn't done so. Donald Trump clearly stated that he's not planning to strike either. If such is the case, what is United States Ship Gerald Ford going to do when it arrives to Caribbean? It sounds like they are desperate for Venezuelans to shoot first. We are in such a peaceful environment so far, that there is absolutely no need to shoot whatsoever. However, people who are feeding psychological war need some sort of shooting to occur.
Venezuelan deterrence is so formidable that escalation could become unavoidable, if United States dares to attack anywhere within Venezuelan territory, with resources we already have at hand. A cargo plane with Russian and Iranian equipment arrived to Simón Bolívar International Airport a few days ago. Venezuela is expecting massive Chinese, Iranian, and Russian new weapons to arrive immediately, per request of President Nicolás Maduro: with payment terms convenient for those advanced military economies. Venezuela has plenty of petroleum and gas underground, supporting any new military debt we incur, Venezuelans can be calm knowing that in worst case scenario, we might endure a multi-year war that we will eventually win. Time always plays in favor of defenders.
United States has no business in Venezuela. Petroleum resources of Venezuela will not be provided to United States. Donald Trump was already offered a preferential package for business with Venezuela, which he already declined. Now he has been forced to engage in war. He seems afraid to strike, while United States public opinion is becoming annoyed of psychological warfare. Regime change by coercion from United States, as clearly defined in United Nations charter, is unacceptable. Venezuela will fight for defending United Nations charter. United States used to believe that other countries would be submissive: according to rules invented by United States, which is not case under international law. Venezuela prefers to leave petroleum and gas resources untouched: until we get favorable terms of trade with partners from Caribbean islands, different to Trinidad and Tobago. Eurasian powers are also potential partners.
Latin American countries seem to be discreetly distancing themselves from United States, as none of them have offered any troops for accompanying United States into invasion of Venezuela. United States generals and admirals continue withdrawing from armed forces, as Pete Hegseth has demonstrated to be a deficient secretary of defense. No further foreign trips are scheduled for Donald Trump to gain some air. Domestic situation in United States features another month of shutdown. Domestic protests will pressure Donald Trump to concede horrible performance, in a Venezuela issue created by Marco Rubio as a lost cause. President Nicolás Maduro has opportunity of becoming an anti-imperialism hero for international community, which will contrast with negative propaganda that has been proposed by regime change supporters during last few years.
Arrogance is hard to cure. A humiliating military defeat for United States is expected if United States decides to strike. It is unclear which excuse they will use to strike, as counterdrug traffic is no longer advertised. This military deployment leaves a balance of fifty-seven civilians extrajudicially killed: in both Pacific and Caribbean. Most of their nationalities seem to be Peruvian, Ecuadorian, Colombian, Mexican, Trinidadian, and virtually no Venezuelans. This reaffirms United Nations report of 2025, that Venezuela is not a significant contributor for international drug trade.
United States wishes to loot Venezuelan petroleum and gas. Venezuela will only deal with companies that respect our sovereignty, especially after humiliating performance of Kamla Persad-Bissessar who thought that counting with an OFAC license was sufficient grounds to steal Venezuelan gas. Anyone who wishes to acquire Venezuelan oil and gas will have to pay for our resources. Military cooperation between China, Russia, Iran, and Venezuela at a second stage will concentrate on dismantling, once and for all, necessity of counting with permission for international trade. Our economies would like to bypass United States for securing growth in favor of our peoples, while Caribbean will remain a zone of peace as requested by Caricom and Celac.
