FAA avoids FIR Maiquetía
Dialogue has been suggested by Donald Trump for the fourth time. He claims he has something specific to tell Nicolas Maduro, which he won't tell us yet, suggesting possibility of a full-fledged bilateral summit or dialogue: as he has done already with North Korea, Russia, Mandani and other world leaders who are usually vetted by mainstream media. Pressure from international community, for avoiding United States versus Venezuela war, is increasing. Huge amount of parliamentary Europeans have signed a joint letter requesting peace, as well as South African foreign minister. President Maduro was congratulated on his birthday by Vladimir Putin of Russia, Lukashenko from Belarus, Xi Jinping from China, Daniel Ortega from Nicaragua, and Díaz Canel from Cuba. All of them expressed explicit diplomatic and strategic support.
China reaffirmed strategic association at all levels and at all times. Russia reaffirmed strategic military partnership. A possible dialogue between United States and Venezuela would consider United States priorities: such as speeding up deportation of illegal Venezuelan migrants, who refuse to leave United States, as well as possible opening of petroleum and gas fields. Recent errands from Prime Minister of Trinidad & Tobago, Kamla Persad-Bissessar, in securing OFAC license for Dragón gas field suggests that United States is indeed interested in development of gas and petroleum Venezuelan resources. However, we would need to dialogue with them regarding appropriate Venezuelan expectations for such trade, as payment through barter due to stringent sanctions is unacceptable on our side.
Main Venezuelan expectation is to remove military fleet of United States out of Caribbean, as it threatens our zone of peace, pending future security agreements between Caribbean and Latin American nations. Ancient motto of a zone of peace will need to be regionally revised: to include defense and security measures to guarantee such peace. There have been two major developments in last few days: regarding Russian petroleum ship that was intercepted by United States naval fleet. It was a Russian petroleum nafta dilluent that was bound to Venezuela, which had to change course into Cuba. This first Russian boat had a Cameroon flag, while a second such nafta diluent containing vessel is coming with a Russian flag. We'll see if this second vessel will also be intercepted by United States, which is desperately trying to block Venezuelan petroleum industry: in support of OFAC sanctions as economic warfare remains main strategy of United States.
This incident between petroleum vessel from Russia with Cameroon flag and United States warships was significant. Any escalation of this incident could have caused a hot conflict. It remains to be seen how nafta stranded in Cuba will make its way into Venezuela. Another recent issue is flight information region FIR Maiquetía having received strong caution from Federal Aviation Administration FAA, to all commercial airlines at any altitude: due to military activities throughout Venezuelan airspace. This caused cancellation of flights of Tap Air Portugal, Iberia, Gol from Brazil, Avianca, Latam and Turkish Airlines. Venezuelan airspace seems likert to only be flown by Venezuelan domestic commercial flights and military flights. All of this is completely understandable: citizens who have been asking for war and regime change should be rejoicing of not being able to engage in tourism for shopping abroad. They want a regime change but they do not wish to be inconvenienced by having airspace closed or restricted. You can't have it both ways.
Kind of people who usually engage in flying commercial tend to be most aggressive supporters of regime change and war against Venezuela. They are now experiencing firsthand how their wishes become true. So deal with it. This flight warning on airspace served by FIR Maiquetía will be in effect until February 19th, 2026. which means that this Venezuela war is expected to endure an additional three months. This designation of FIR Maiquetía, as a zone with a lot of military traffic, sounds like a victory for Venezuelan air forces, air defense missiles, drones and military preparations. La Guaira Caracas defense axis has been extensively described, in all military oriented publications, as working wonderfully: with well trained soldiers and militias with help of high level Russian technology experts.
Every time United States sends recognition flights into borderline of Venezuelan airspace, they take notice of what our defense capabilities are. They return with significantly harmful information that makes United States military hesitant to place boots on ground. Restriction to FIR Maiquetía, as suggested by Federal Aviation Administration, means that Venezuelan military is well prepared: a significant air combat may occur on Venezuelan airspace during next three months, with unclear outcome and significant usage of metallic projectiles or vectors. If threat of Venezuelan flying vectors were not significant, FAA restriction would not be needed so harshly. They are conceding they are dealing with a formidable enemy. Venezuela was supposed to be an easy target. It is clear that Russian interests, Chinese interests, Iranian interests are strong and they will not leave this country aside.
Siege of Venezuela started in August. We are already in November. We should expect hostilities until February according to FAA. Thus we are in middle of conflict. So far we have resisted perfectly. During next three months we must concentrate on dialoguing Donald Trump successfully, until American side gets bored of these inconclusive war preparations. Secretary of State Marco Rubio is having a hard time. He just expressed that peace plan for Ukraine is not an American plan but a Russian plan, while Donald Trump had already asked Volodomir Zelenski to accept it. Marco Rubio is doing everything in his power to block Trump's attempts for peace. Neocon, warmongering attitudes of Marco Rubio are being dismissed by Donald Trump in Ukraine. We should expect that dialogue attempts between Donald Trump and President Maduro will also be derailed or obstructed by Marco Rubio. We should not expect Marco Rubio to be fired from his post easily: as Donald Trump likes drama of awkwardness and contradictions towards his opponents.
Mandani meeting is a textbook case. Mandani was supposed to be a horrible communist. He was lavishly praised by Donald Trump when they met face to face. An identical outcome is expected once Donald Trump meets Nicolás Maduro, to dismay of Marco Rubio and industrial military complex. It is highly predictable that during three months left, until FAA removes FIR Maiquetía restrictions, missiles will arrive into Venezuela to target United States military objectives in Puerto Rico, Virgin islands, Guantánamo or Florida. It is significant, however, that restrictions have already been in place for some time in FIR Puerto Rico. There are no restrictions at FIR Piarco, while FIR Curaçao is likely to present some restrictions as well: due to its proximity to flight routes between Caracas and Maracaibo both in FIR Maiquetía.
Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar has conceded too little too late. However, it is appreciated that she is taking similar steps as president of Panama. We now have confirmation that neither Panama nor Trinidad & Tobago will use their territory for United States invasion into Venezuela. Military exercises of United States in Trinidad & Tobago are scheduled to have finished yesterday. Within next few days we should monitor if military activity in Trinidad & Tobago decreases: which sounds like a welcome possibility to exhausted Trinidadians & Tobagoans who have seen their country absolutely militarized. Their traditional and social media continue showing utter fear and opposition to warmongering activities from prime minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar's government.
Regime change sounds out of question. Most retired military voices from United States continue listing a number of warnings: of possible casualties of American troops, should Donald Trump order attacks into sovereignty of Venezuela. Venezuelan military has behaved absolutely wonderfully. I am extremely proud of my country. I am extremely proud of military services that ordinary Venezuelans are enjoying for protection of our sovereignty. New multipolar world is being born as we speak. Strategically there is a suggestion from President Maduro: for students across Venezuela and United States to begin communications, which is very easy to do through social media. Educational programs in United States tend to be favorable to study abroad and multicultural exchanges. Educational systems in United States tend to be ideologically opposed to everything Trump administration is doing.
This exchange educational proposal from Nicolás Maduro is likely to be well received by several educational institutions in United States. Success will be facilitated as average American until last year had no idea where Venezuela was in the map. Now everyone talks about it. It is a fashionable topic. Among all these challenges we should take advantage of positive opportunities, arising from this balance of power shift situation. It remains clear, however, that during recent years Venezuela has already shifted into Russian, Chinese, Iranian, Indian and Vietnamese petroleum investment markets. Dialogue with United States will fail if United States urges Venezuela to give up our relationship with any of our current allies.
Fake news that were suggesting President Maduro would leave power tended also to suggest that Venezuela would return to priority relations with United States: leaving our fabulous associations with China and Russia behind. That does not seem to apply. Our alliance with Cuba, Nicaragua, Belarus, Russia and China, as expressed by yesterday's birthday letters, is nonnegotiable because you don't negotiate against your friends and allies unless you become a traitor. United States is expected to decline: from lone superpower status to a strong power among regional spheres of influence. United States will eventually realize that alliances are actually useful, as Europeans, Canadians and Australians slowly drift apart.
Morale in Venezuela is high. With limited means we have been able to resist so far. We are actually planning on a strategy for peace and dialogue, while United States is being pressured by their warmongers to start conflict immediately. They have postponed timing of attacks into Venezuela, according to their extremist media, to beginning of December. However, in October they said that conflict would start in November. As they recurrently shift date for initial strike, Venezuelan military gains additional time to fortify even more our defenses.
We must also be aware of domestic developments in United States politics: such as resignation of Marjorie Taylor Green out of Congress, which would leave one Republican seat vacant starting January 5th, 2026 and entailing a special election: likely to be gained by a Democratic candidate. If additional resignations occur, as a result of Epstein files, majority of lower chamber of representatives could actually shift to democrat control, facilitating talks for peace or at least restraint. We must however be vigilant as the Democrats, while not as explicitly geared toward war, are not pacifist either. A lot of the industrial military complex also donates to the Democratic Party. We remember former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who enjoyed wars worldwide during Obama administration. Joe Biden was a fan of war in Ukraine.
Venezuela in any scenario will be best served in continuing a fabulous development of military deterrence against United States. We should continue establishing alliances and markets elsewhere. This planet is too big and too beautiful to waste our time begging mercy from unfriendly United States.