Both Maduro and Machado are toxic
Europeans have become winners of new Venezuelan situation: as American oil and gas distribution companies are wary to take advantage of Donald Trump's and Delcy Rodríguez' advantageous terms of commerce. Companies from Netherlands and Singapore will initially be involved in distributing Venezuela oil across world at market prices. While ambassadors of such countries as Spain, Portugal, France, United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, Netherlands, as well as Switzerland have met with President Rodríguez and her team at Miraflores Palace: so that relations between Europe and Venezuela strengthen. It is likely that as Europe realizes that Greenland is in geopardy, they might be more sympathetic to Venezuela than they used to be.
Everyone in general are excited that both Nicolás Maduro and María Machado are out of Venezuelan picture: as both were polarizing figures with lots of enemies and entrenched irrational positions that led nowhere. We have wasted so many years of Nicolás Maduro and María Machado fighting each other, that best possible outcome is that both are out of country. They will never return. Venezuela does not want Nicolás Maduro to come back. He has to serve his prison term. María Machado is incapacitated for political office in Venezuela for at least year 2036. She visited Pope and she will visit Donald Trump. It will be a nuisance because every once in a while we will have to endure boring and stressful María Machado's meetings with international community members: as she is always pretending to destabilize Venezuela. But that will not endure.
Venezuelans will form a new opposition that will gracefully come to terms with new government of Delcy Rodríguez. María Machado and Nicolás Maduro are both a horrible past that we should not ever repeat. Alliances with Russia, China, and Iran are gone. Those three countries provided expectations that Venezuela would become a beacon of multipolar world. They would defend us. Nothing like that happened. They actually did not invest enough in Venezuelan petroleum industry, as our production is still low and investment has not been extensive.
It is with great pleasure that we hear from Karoline Leavitt, press secretary of President Donald Trump, that relations with President Delcy Rodríguez are working wonderfully. They are preparing a $500 billion package of petroleum investment in Venezuela during next few years. Unfortunately, details and specifics are not being handled as quickly as we would like to: but certainly good relationship between United States and Venezuela is unexpected and welcome. It is totally fine that Venezuela becomes an American protectorate: especially when we see that Donald Trump has no intention of imposing María Machado, as Marco Rubio led us to believe along with the crazy Cubans not too long ago.
Venezuela will remain as an American protectorate during next few years: as alternative would be civil war led by María Machado as her intransigent points of views will clash with those of Nicolás Maduro's supporters. We definitely need both Machado and Maduro out of Venezuelan political picture forever. Venezuela needs new leadership. National Assembly presented points of views of congressmen such as Luis Florido: who has been rightfully complaining about political prisoners sent to prison by violent activities promoted by María Machado. Such political prisoners are not being released in a timely fashion. Jorge Rodríguez, president of National Assembly, claims that 400 people have been liberated: 160 during December and 240 during January. However, count doesn't add up. A full listing of political prisoners released is not available.
Statistics in Venezuela remain an issue that should be solved as soon as possible. Figures of inflation, unemployment, economic growth, number of political prisoners released, oil wells in development, oil wells idle, terms of commerce with different countries: everything in Venezuela is extremely opaque, subject to transparency which never comes. We hear from economists that macroeconomic conditions in Venezuela should improve in next few weeks: as bigger foreign currency flows will enter market alleviating exchange rate pressures. However, differential between official exchange rate and market exchange rate continues to be significant. Although there are early signs that differential is narrowing a bit.
Caracas stock market is outperforming stock markets of other parts of world. In general, economic news sound awesome. However, people on street remain unemployed and suffering inflation as usual. Donald Trump is expected to continue his power struggles in Iran, Greenland, and Cuba before midterm elections. Donald Trump is using foreign policy in toppling governments of uncomfortable countries as soon as possible: as Democrats are expected to win midterm elections in November. If Donald Trump doesn't topple Iran and Cuba's government now, and if Donald Trump doesn't acquire Greenland now, it will be very difficult for him to do so after midterms, when Democrats take over House and Senate. So Donald Trump needs to hurry up in his foreign policy objectives. Clock is ticking. After midterms, Donald Trump will be forced to revert to domestic policy.
Opposition of Iran and real estate developers of Greenland, and people of Cuba who have endured a dictatorship for almost a century: depend on Donald Trump's assertiveness to complete jobs that are still pending. International community is in process of reshuffling: as we have received confirmation that United Nations and other multilateral organizations are irrelevant. All decisions are made by United States. Other countries have no option but to obey. Russia, China and Iran were supposed to be formidable adversaries. They are just falling in line with United States as everyone else. United States is expected to strike Iran within next few weeks and perhaps a new government in Iran will complete global American-led petroleum strategy designed by Donald Trump.
President Delcy Rodríguez also met with a special envoy from United Arab Emirates. Purpose of meeting was on petroleum strategies. United Arab Emirates is a close ally of OPEC+ and perhaps they are converging petroleum sales strategies to United States, as it has already been done with Qatar. Similar talks should be expected with Saudi Arabia: to complete a comprehensive OPEC+ strategy. Russian companies such as Rosneft claim they are determined to continue in Venezuelan market. However, their produce would probably be sold by United States according to new agreement. Russia has been particularly disappointing. Russia has a tendency of abandoning its allies: just as it it abandoned Syria recently.
New balance of power in Venezuela will face pressures from United States protectorate status along: with an opposition that is deeply divided between those who need to retain María Machado out of political picture, against María Machado's supporters who are greatest threat to Venezuelan stability: latter are not favorite option of either American master or vassal Venezuelan guardanship protectorate. New opposition leadership needs to be formed. However, social media of María Machado always makes sure to have her permanently on news cycle: which is a complete nuisance. It looks like Venezuelans will spend all years to come: fighting against foreign interference of María Machado who is not allowed to come back into Venezuela.
María Machado is responsible for most of political prisoners: as she led them to violently protest in streets. Her discourse of hatred was permanently ingrained in many people: who are now in prison. Now we have to convince government authorities to release them. Government supporters feel that political prisoners have committed crimes, while everything they did was on behalf of María Machado: who actually spoke to pope. She claims to be a faithful person while oppressing her enemies. Venezuela will never regain full peace until María Machado gets out of politics, just as Leopoldo López and Juan Guaidó already conceded politics is not their future.
It is hard for Venezuelan government to make too many concessions: because once you start making some concessions, people who say are democratic start with a ridiculous idea of getting María Machado back, rather than forming new opposition leadership. We hope that we do not waste lots of years fighting against María Machado again. We have been fighting against María Machado during many years already. That needed a coalition of moderate opposition and government supporters: until we were successfully able to block her ascent to power, through controversial elections of Edmundo González Urrutia. Edmundo González Urrutia was not allowed to reach Venezuelan presidency: because he would have been a puppet of María Machado. That would have been out of question. No military and no Venezuelan civil society would have accepted a Machado government: which would be equal to Maduro's government. There is too much rejection to both of them.
Venezuela needs a reconciliation figure which cannot be offered by either Machado or Maduro. Cuba seems to be receiving petroleum now from Mexico. However, it is unclear if Mexico will subsidize oil to Cuba, in similar generous terms as Venezuela used to. We have no reports of presidents Claudia Sheinbaum and Delcy Rodríguez speaking to each other: as Mexico and Venezuela are two countries most at risk of a military bombardment or invasion. Re-entering Venezuela into international community will be a long process. Recent infighting between Maduro and Machado has made torturous headlines worldwide during many years. Countries are signaled one way or the other: for taking sides towards either of them.
We need a depolarizing figure. Only tangible arrangements we have are these OPEC+ deals between Trump administration and Rodríguez administration. We hope that this phase one of stabilization takes time and is completed successfully. However, threat remains that some people want to bring María Machado back. That would mean destabilization. We are at great risk of being imposed democracy: which would mean apartheid by María Machado supporters against María Machado's opponents. Venezuela may not risk a return of María Machado. Venezuela cannot risk release of Nicolás Maduro from prison either. Both repugnant political figures must be definitely thrown away to trash can of history.
Some Venezuelans are rooting for Maduro's return and other Venezuelans are rooting for Machado's return. Since these idiotic supporters of extremist leadership continue destabilizing our country, governments of Trump and Rodríguez will have no more option but to continue their opaque protectorate, master slave dealings indefinitely: because Venezuela is not prepared for democracy. Democracy means choosing between Maduro and Machado: as they are polarizing figures approved by political campaigns that neglect rise of alternative leadership. Democracy is not an option to Venezuela.
Preferred scenario is just to continue stabilization through petroleum trade: as Donald Trump and Delcy Rodríguez are doing. That means supporting Donald Trump's policy worldwide into any country he so desires. A grip of Donald Trump into Venezuela right now is our only chance for survival and economic growth. Alternative would be reversion into democracy through obnoxious campaigns of both Maduro and Machado, which are full of slogans and hatred against fellow Venezuelans.